Tristán Suárez has built their entire campaign on defensive resilience. Keeping nine clean sheets in 15 matches is no accident, and their ability to limit opponents to just over eight shots a game gives them absolute control over the tempo.

Finding the back of the net remains a massive issue for Almagro. They have managed just 11 goals all season, and their lack of composure in the final third means they rarely punish teams even when they do manage to string passes together.

The shot-suppression gap between these two sides is glaring. While the home defense stays incredibly compact, Almagro bleeds chances, allowing over 14 shots per game and constantly exposing their goalkeeper to unnecessary pressure.

Recent form points straight toward a low-event fixture. Tristán Suárez has been involved in multiple goalless draws over the last month, perfectly illustrating their willingness to sacrifice attacking numbers to protect their defensive shape.

Backing a lack of goals is the most natural interpretation of this matchup. Neither team possesses the individual brilliance required to break down a set defense quickly, making it highly unlikely this turns into an open shootout.