San Lorenzo have quietly built a very solid Apertura campaign, sitting fifth with ten points. Their only misstep was a narrow away loss to unbeaten Racing, leaving their home form completely unblemished.

Things look bleak for Newells Old Boys right now. They are riding a three-match losing streak and just suffered a 4-0 thrashing in their own stadium against Talleres, highlighting major issues at the back.

The attacking metrics point to a one-sided affair. San Lorenzo score consistently, while the visitors have managed a miserable two goals in five matches and look completely devoid of ideas in the final third.

Defensive stability gives the hosts a massive platform to control this fixture. They have only conceded three times all season, a record that an anemic Newells attack is highly unlikely to threaten.

The odds heavily back a home victory, and it is hard to argue with the market here. San Lorenzo should dominate possession and territory, forcing the away side into damage limitation from the first whistle.