Samsunspor enter this match in 7th place, with a recent form line showing just one win in their last five games and a generally low goal output, especially at home. Their attack is functional but not particularly threatening, averaging just over one goal per game this season, and their recent XG and shot numbers reflect a conservative style under Thorsten Fink.

Konyaspor have picked up in form recently with three wins from their last five, but much of their success has come at home. Away from home, they concede nearly two goals per game and have struggled for defensive stability, but their attack is only marginally more productive than Samsunspor's.

The head-to-head record over the last ten meetings shows four draws, with neither side able to establish clear dominance, and several matches finishing with either one or two total goals. The most recent encounter saw Samsunspor win away, but that was an outlier in an otherwise tight fixture history.

Both teams' attacking metrics—such as big chances created and shots on target—are middling in the Süper Lig, and both lack a consistently reliable goalscorer. Samsunspor's featured striker, Cherif Ndiaye, has been effective in flashes but hasn't driven high scoring, while Konyaspor's Jackson Muleka is similarly streaky.

Defensively, Samsunspor have been more solid at home, with eight clean sheets in 26 matches, while Konyaspor have only managed five clean sheets all season and are vulnerable on the road due to frequent defensive errors and lapses in concentration, particularly late in games.

Stakes are moderate for both teams: Samsunspor are clear of relegation but not in contention for Europe, while Konyaspor need points to avoid slipping into the lower reaches. This may result in a cautious opening, with both sides potentially content to settle for a point if parity persists into the second half.

Considering all factors—including both teams’ recent trends, tactical conservatism, and the consensus among external predictions—the most defensible and safest angle is 'Under 2.5 Goals,' with the draw a strong alternative given the historical and current balance between these sides.