Samsunspor's recent matches have turned into absolute track meets. Every single one of their last eight games has cleared the 2.5 goal mark, driven by an aggressive style that leaves plenty of space at the back. They have nothing left to play for in the league, which usually translates to playing with the handbrake off.

The stakes are completely different for the visitors. Göztepe sit fifth and are still within striking distance of the European qualification spots. That pressure means they cannot afford to sit back and absorb pressure—they have to actively chase the win.

Injuries are going to be a major problem for the home side's midfield. Being without Olivier Ntcham and Emre Kılınç strips Samsunspor of their primary ball-retention players. Without that control in the center of the pitch, the game is highly likely to become stretched and transitional.

While Göztepe built their season on a solid defensive foundation, they have proven they can score in bunches when the occasion demands it. They recently played out a wild 3-3 draw away at Kasımpaşa. Facing a Samsunspor backline missing the suspended Josafat Mendes gives their attackers a clear advantage.

The betting markets have clearly caught onto the scoring trends here. There has been a sharp drop in the odds for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the expectation of an open contest. When a highly motivated team meets an opponent playing risk-free football, goals are usually the most logical outcome.