Lommel SK enters this promotion playoff first leg in devastating form, sweeping through their last four matches with four straight victories. They have built serious momentum at exactly the right time to challenge for top-flight status.

The hosts have been relentless going forward, netting 11 times across those recent fixtures. They consistently generate high-quality chances inside the penalty area and punish defensive mistakes without hesitation.

FCV Dender arrive carrying the heavy baggage of a difficult top-flight campaign. They conceded 62 goals and 94 big chances across their regular season, highlighting deep structural vulnerabilities at the back.

Despite their defensive issues, the visitors still pose a consistent attacking threat. They have found the net in all six of their recent relegation round games, proving they can still heavily impact the scoreline.

The dynamic of a highly confident lower-division side attacking a fragile top-tier defense points toward an open contest. With both teams heavily trending toward high-scoring affairs, backing goals is the most reliable angle here.