Libertad step onto the pitch for their final group game with zero points and nothing left to fight for. Universidad Central are in the exact opposite position, arriving in Asunción desperate for a result to keep their Copa Sudamericana or knockout hopes alive. That massive gap in motivation dictates the entire tempo of the match.

Trusting a Venezuelan side on the road in this competition is notoriously dangerous, even when they have something to play for. Universidad Central have been battered defensively throughout the group stage, giving up 87 shots and 19 big chances. They simply do not have the solidity to sit deep and grind out a clean sheet.

The hosts haven't exactly been a fortress at the back either. Libertad have shipped eight goals in the tournament, constantly leaving gaps in transition and allowing opponents too many clean looks at goal. Playing without knockout pressure usually means a more expansive style, which will only stretch their shape further.

Despite their obvious flaws, the visitors have shown actual teeth going forward. They have netted six times in the group and consistently generate high-quality opportunities on the counter. Knowing they have to chase the game will force them to commit bodies forward early.

Backing a side with zero points is poor practice, but taking an unproven away team in a must-win spot is equally risky. The goals market bypasses that completely. Both defenses are incredibly generous, and the sheer desperation from the visitors guarantees an open, chaotic script.