Lecce enter the final matchday with their Serie A survival hanging by a thread, sitting just one point clear of the relegation zone. A victory guarantees their safety without needing to rely on results elsewhere.

Genoa arrive at the Via del Mare with their season essentially over. Sitting safely in 14th place, the visitors have no tangible objectives left to fight for.

The hosts have built crucial momentum at the perfect time, securing two wins and two draws in their last five outings. Their recent 3-2 away victory against Sassuolo proved they can handle high-pressure situations.

While Lecce have struggled offensively for most of the campaign with just 27 league goals, survival desperation often overrides season-long averages. Genoa’s away form has been respectable, but matching the intensity of a team fighting for its life is a notoriously difficult task.

The market has correctly priced Lecce as strong favorites, reflecting the massive gap in motivation. Backing the home side to finish the job is the most logical position given the extreme disparity in stakes.