Alavés enter the final day completely safe in mid-table, looking to give their fans a positive send-off at Mendizorroza. The hosts have been impressive down the stretch, highlighted by a recent and deserved 1-0 home victory over Barcelona.

Rayo Vallecano are enjoying a phenomenal season, but their focus is entirely compromised by a UEFA Conference League final against Crystal Palace looming just four days away. Expect heavy rotation from the visitors as they prioritize European glory and injury prevention over a minor league placement jump.

The visitors travel with a severely depleted attacking unit, missing the suspended Isi Palazón alongside injured winger Ilias Akhomach. With Álvaro García also doubtful, Rayo's ability to create chances in wide areas will be heavily limited.

Rayo’s away form has been their weaker split all season, managing just 15 goals in 18 road fixtures. Conversely, Alavés have consistently found the net at home, leveraging a physical style that should trouble a distracted and shuffled away defense.

Given the massive discrepancy in match priorities and Rayo's missing personnel, the advantage lies clearly with Alavés. Backing the hosts to avoid defeat offers supreme safety, while an outright home win presents a logical aggressive angle.