Deportivo Alavés are sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone and are treating every remaining fixture like a final. That late-season urgency has translated into crucial points, with the hosts securing two wins and two draws in their last five league outings.

Athletic Club arrive in poor traveling form, having dropped four consecutive away matches across all competitions. They have looked surprisingly fragile away from San Mamés, conceding multiple goals in three of those recent road trips.

The home side's attack has caught fire at exactly the right moment, generating 12 goals over their last five games. They have consistently found ways to break through, even when facing elite defensive units like Real Madrid and Real Sociedad.

For all their attacking success, Alavés still struggle to shut opponents down, having leaked 49 goals this campaign. Their willingness to throw bodies forward naturally leaves space behind, which perfectly suits Athletic's pace on the break.

Given the survival pressure on the hosts and Athletic's recent defensive lapses on the road, a quiet match feels unlikely. Backing goals on both ends naturally fits the reality of a desperate home side and an away team built to strike in transition.