Crystal Palace bring the stronger attacking profile into the final. They have scored 25 goals across 14 Conference League matches, created 62 big chances, and most of their goals have come from inside the box, which points to repeatable chance quality rather than low-percentage finishing.

Rayo Vallecano are not just a defensive outsider here. They have scored 22 in 12 European matches, won both legs against Strasbourg, and their recent LaLiga results against Villarreal, Valencia, Girona, and Getafe show a side arriving with rhythm rather than simply surviving the route to Leipzig.

The neutral venue changes the usual home-away read. Palace are listed as home team, but Red Bull Arena removes the Selhurst Park advantage, so the cleaner angle is not Palace dominance but a match where both attacks can find moments.

Palace’s defensive numbers in Europe are solid, with 12 conceded and five clean sheets, but the injury list matters. Doucouré and Sosa are missing, while Richards and Riad are doubtful, so the defensive base looks less secure than the tournament record alone suggests.

Rayo’s away split is more open than their overall record. They have scored 10 and conceded nine across six away European matches, with most of their away concessions coming between 31-60 minutes, so Palace pressure can hurt them without killing the BTTS angle.

Final pressure can reduce early risk, but both teams have enough late-game scoring patterns to keep goals alive. Palace have scored well before halftime in Europe, while Rayo remain dangerous late, especially from 76-90 minutes.

The betting read is goals before winner. Palace have the higher ceiling and may edge it, but Rayo’s form, European scoring output, and Palace’s defensive concerns make BTTS stronger than forcing a straight result.