Chapecoense steps into this knockout tie battle-tested from a demanding top-flight schedule. Hosting this second leg gives them a massive situational advantage. They already proved they can handle high-stakes cup nights with a recent two-goal victory over Botafogo.

Novorizontino brings decent Série B form to the table, but the step up in class cannot be ignored. Their recent road trips are a mixed bag. A scoreless draw at Cuiabá showed some grit, but a chaotic 3-3 shootout against Avaí highlighted real defensive fragility.

Finding the back of the net is rarely an issue for the hosts when playing in front of their own fans. They consistently generate high-quality chances and force opponents into deep defensive blocks. That sustained pressure usually translates into multiple scoring opportunities.

Absorbing pressure for 90 minutes will be a massive challenge for the visitors. They lack the midfield depth to dictate the tempo, a problem made worse by the absence of Luís Oyama. Without him, breaking up play and launching counters becomes significantly harder.

Backing the top-tier side to control the match is the most straightforward read. The talent gap is obvious, and home advantage only amplifies it. Grabbing the Double Chance offers a perfect safety net if the aggregate scoreline allows Chapecoense to just manage the game.