Attacking intent has been a hallmark for both sides in recent weeks. Leverkusen are averaging 3 goals scored per DFB Pokal fixture and have unleashed 63 shots in four cup matches, while Bayern’s tally of 12 goals from 56 shots underscores their clinical edge.

Defensive reliability is far from guaranteed for either club. Leverkusen have conceded in four of their last five matches across all competitions, and Bayern arrive with only one clean sheet in their own last five, with multiple key midfield and defensive absences.

The recent head-to-head finished 1-1, but that result came with two Bayern red cards and does not reflect the true attacking potential on display when both teams are at full strength. In the last ten meetings, neither side has dominated, with a near-even record and frequent multi-goal encounters.

Momentum is slightly on Bayern’s side coming off high-profile Champions League wins, but their stretched squad and Leverkusen’s sharp home attack narrow the gap. Both teams have missed a fair share of big chances lately, which actually hints at more open play rather than conversion regression.

Game state is likely to drive further risk-taking, especially in a one-off cup tie. Both managers typically avoid holding back, and the data shows late goals are common for each—Leverkusen have scored 3 in the final 15 minutes in the cup, Bayern have done similar in the league.

Fan sentiment and market odds are heavily skewed towards Bayern, but the underlying stats suggest a much closer contest, particularly in terms of scoring opportunities. The safest read avoids a pure result market and focuses on the shared attacking profile.

Given the tactical setups, recent output, and the nature of the fixture, expecting both teams to score is the most reliable position. Over 2.5 goals is nearly as strong, with the only risk being finishing variance rather than lack of chances.