Ligue 1· France
Auxerre
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This is a massive relegation six-pointer in the penultimate round of the season. Auxerre sit in the relegation playoff spot, exactly three points behind Nice, meaning a home victory would see them leapfrog their opponents on goal difference.
Auxerre have turned the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps into a difficult venue for visiting teams. They are unbeaten in their last four home fixtures, keeping three clean sheets and maintaining a season average of just one goal conceded per game on their own turf.
Nice arrive on a stubborn but uninspiring run of four consecutive league draws. While they have shown the defensive resilience to grind out points at Lille and Marseille, their overall away record remains poor, having leaked 31 goals in 16 road trips.
The visitors' task is made harder by significant injury absences at both ends of the pitch. The loss of key forward Elye Wahi blunts their attacking threat, while starting center-back Moise Bombito remains sidelined with a broken ankle.
Auxerre's desperation to secure top-flight safety should dictate the intensity of the match. With the hosts finding their scoring touch—netting seven times in their last three outings—backing them to avoid defeat offers the most reliable betting angle.
Insight
Auxerre are the better pick here as they face a must-win scenario to escape the relegation playoff spot. Their home form is rock solid, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps while keeping three clean sheets. Nice are missing key striker Elye Wahi and have limped to four straight league draws, lacking the attacking edge to threaten a highly motivated home side. Taking Auxerre on the Double Chance provides the safest coverage.