Almagro and Güemes meet in a critical fixture at the very bottom of the Primera Nacional table. Both sides are currently entrenched in the relegation zone, separated by just a single point after 13 matches. The desperation to secure a result here is massive, meaning neither team can afford to accept a passive draw.

Defensive fragility has been the defining characteristic of both campaigns so far. Güemes holds the worst defensive record in the division, having leaked 21 goals, while Almagro is barely better with 17 conceded. Clean sheets have been incredibly rare for both squads, forcing them to chase games after early lapses.

Despite their struggles, both teams have shown signs of life going forward. Güemes has managed to score in six of their last eight outings, proving they carry a threat even when losing. Almagro’s attack has also woken up slightly, finding the back of the net in four of their last five matches after a barren start to the season.

Recent fixtures highlight a tendency for open matches rather than tight affairs. Güemes’s away trips have frequently turned into high-scoring contests, including a recent 4-1 defeat and a 2-1 victory. Almagro’s home games have followed a similar pattern of late, with both teams getting on the scoresheet in their most recent outings.

Historical meetings between these two clubs reflect a fairly balanced rivalry with no clear dominant force. Across their seven previous encounters, wins have been evenly split alongside three draws. The current weaknesses of both sides suggest past stalemates are unlikely to be repeated here.

Given the mutual defensive unreliability, backing goals offers the smartest approach. Trusting either side to simply win the match carries unnecessary risk given their shared inconsistency. Expecting multiple goals aligns perfectly with how both teams have played over the last month.